Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Uganda is falling behind its regional peers

5 mins read

Uganda currently records far lower electricity consumption compared with many fellow members of the East African Community (EAC). For example, Uganda’s peak electricity demand stands at about 1,176 megawatts (MW), while its economy is valued at roughly US$53.65 billion. In contrast, Kenya’s peak demand reached 2,316 MW with a GDP of around US$124.5 billion. Meanwhile, Tanzania recorded 1,944 MW peak demand and a GDP of about US$78.8 billion.

Thus Uganda’s energy usage is not keeping pace with those countries — which raises important questions about its economic structure, growth potential and electrification strategies. As one analysis put it: “In the regional race between megawatts and money, Uganda’s next leap will depend on how quickly it can turn kilowatts into jobs, exports and industrial momentum.”


Why electricity consumption matters

Electricity consumption tracks economic activity. When industries scale up, households gain access, and infrastructure expands, power demand rises. Because of this link, Uganda’s relatively low electricity consumption suggests that large parts of its economy may still be under-electrified or operating with limited energy input.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), in Uganda electricity accounts for only around 2 % of total final energy consumption, because the majority of energy is still derived from biomass and traditional fuels. That stands in sharp contrast to more industrialised peers whose energy profiles include far more electricity for manufacturing, services, cooling, data centres and other modern uses.

Moreover, Uganda’s per-capita electricity consumption remains extremely low. One source estimates it at below 200 kWh per year, compared to Kenya’s roughly 500 kWh. That means many households, small businesses and factories may lack access to reliable electricity, or must rely on expensive, inefficient alternatives.

In practical terms, low electricity usage affects industrial capacity, raises production costs for small- and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) and limits mechanisation — particularly in sectors such as agro-processing and manufacturing where power is a key input. Accordingly, improvement in the power sector is often seen as a prerequisite for economic transformation.


What’s behind Uganda’s energy gap

Generation capacity vs. consumption

While Uganda trails in consumption, the country has made significant investments in generation. For example, Uganda’s installed capacity reached over 2,000 MW following the commissioning of the 600 MW Karuma Hydro project in 2024. Yet the challenge lies more in electricity uptake than in raw generation. In other words, having capacity is one thing; actually using it productively is another. One report states that Uganda has a surplus of about 876.7 MW that remains under-utilised because factory usage is only about 55 % and high tariffs or rural connectivity limit consumption.

Access and rural constraints

Access remains a major barrier. According to recent data, about 60 % of households (both rural and urban) in Uganda have access to electricity in some form — but only a fraction of those are on the grid (around 22 %) as of late 2024. Rural dispersal, low electrification of homes, and considerable reliance on off-grid solutions all dampen demand growth.

Sector structure and demand profile

Uganda’s economy still has a large agricultural component and somewhat limited industrialisation. According to IEA data, households accounted for 61 % of final energy consumption, industry 22 %, transport 7 % and commercial/public services around 9 %. That industrial share (22 %) is small compared with more industrialised neighbours. Without large factories and data-intensive services, electricity demand remains suppressed.

Tariffs, transmission and infrastructure bottlenecks

Although Uganda has improved generation, transmission and distribution remain weak. One report pointed out that while installed capacity has grown, “investment in transmission and distribution has not kept pace with generation,” which means Uganda cannot fully absorb its generation. Additionally, high electricity tariffs and difficulties in connecting rural households raise the cost barrier for many potential consumers.

Electrification pattern and energy mix

Much of Uganda’s energy is still derived from biomass (wood, charcoal), and electricity plays a small role. The 2023 Uganda Energy Transition Plan notes modern energy consumption per capita remains extremely low — about 30 times lower than in advanced economies. Furthermore, heavy dependence on hydropower poses risks of climate variability and generation drop-offs, which in turn constrains stable demand.


Why Uganda’s lag matters

The fact that Uganda uses less electricity than its peers has several consequences:

  • Industrial growth limitation: Without sufficient power, factories cannot scale, which limits value-addition and export potential.
  • Manufacturing competitiveness: Power shortages or high cost of power raise production costs for SMEs and discourage investment.
  • Jobs and productivity: Electrified industries tend to create more and better jobs; lagging power means fewer of those opportunities.
  • Household welfare: Limited electrification or unreliable supply reduces quality of life and constrains digital/education access.
  • Regional competitiveness: As neighbouring countries improve their power-economy linkage, Uganda risks falling further behind in attracting investment and tapping into regional trade.

One article concludes: “For Uganda to compete, it will need to boost not just power generation, but electricity consumption per capita, particularly in manufacturing and agro-processing.”


What Uganda is doing — and what remains

Big generation projects

Uganda has moved forward on generation. The Karuma Hydro Project added 600 MW and pushed capacity to over 2,000 MW. Uganda is also seeking funds to add around 1,600 MW more via three hydro-plants (Ayago 840 MW, Kiba 400 MW, Oriang 392 MW). These efforts show that the country is serious about scaling up supply.

Policies and frameworks

Uganda’s National Energy Policy and Energy Transition Plan aim to expand transmission/distribution, improve access, promote alternative sources and strengthen institutional frameworks. This policy backing is essential for turning capacity into consumption.

Regional integration

Uganda is part of the Eastern Africa Power Pool, meaning it can both import and export electricity. This regional linkage could support better utilisation of its generation capacity.

What still needs work

  • Demand stimulation: Simply building capacity is not enough — Uganda must stimulate industrial demand and household uptake.
  • Access in rural areas: With many households still off-grid or weakly connected, rural electrification remains vital.
  • Infrastructure build-out: Transmission and distribution need scaling; bottlenecks hamper usage of generation.
  • Cost and tariffs: Making power affordable for industry and households is key to unlocking demand.
  • Value-added industries: Uganda must support manufacturing, agro-processing, ICT and services that are power-intensive and can absorb more electricity.

How Uganda can catch up

To close the gap with regional peers, Uganda may consider the following strategies:

  • Promote industrial estates and greenfield manufacturing: Attract factories with reliable power supply and incentives, thereby increasing electricity demand.
  • Prioritise rural electrification: Micro-grids, off-grid solar-hybrid systems, and better last-mile distribution can expand reach rapidly.
  • Improve cost efficiency and tariffs: Lower costs encourage consumption. Lowering industrial tariffs or offering incentives for power-intensive users could help.
  • Raise awareness and adoption: Encourage households and SMEs to electrify more appliances, switch from biomass to electric alternatives, and upgrade technologies.
  • Leverage regional power trade: Use Uganda’s connection to neighbouring grids to export surplus power and stabilise domestic supply, thereby improving utilisation rates.
  • Diversify into renewables: While hydropower remains dominant, adding solar, wind or geothermal can reduce climate vulnerability and attract new users.
  • Strengthen data and planning: Better data helps target areas of low consumption, monitor usage and optimize investments — something the IEA notes Uganda needs.

Conclusion

Uganda’s electricity consumption lags behind many of its EAC peers — even though the country is building generation capacity. The gap lies in converting that capacity into productive usage across households, industry and services. If Uganda wants to accelerate its economy, create jobs, attract investment and improve living standards, then boosting electricity consumption and enhancing access must become central to its strategy.

In the regional contest of kilowatts and prosperity, Uganda’s next leap depends less on building more generation and more on how it uses the energy it already has — building demand, lowering costs, extending access and igniting new industries.

Only then can it catch up to regional leaders and make electricity a true engine of growth.

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